Friday, June 27, 2025

Bitcoin Hasn’t Peaked Yet, Says Analyst—What Traders Are Missing

Share

Bitcoin hasn’t peaked yet, according to analysts. The potential for further upward momentum lies in bullish technical patterns like the golden cross and cup-and-handle, alongside reduced supply following the April 2024 halving. Institutional capital inflows, driven by Bitcoin ETF approvals, add to the price stability. While short-term bearish indicators suggest possible corrections, strong support and investor confidence are bolstered by long-term supply-demand dynamics. For those intrigued, further exploration reveals more insights.

In recent months, Bitcoin has exhibited notable technical patterns that traders should closely monitor. The formation of the golden cross pattern, with the 50-day moving average remaining above the 200-day moving average, suggests a continuation of bullish momentum. This optimism is further supported by the detection of a cup-and-handle pattern, which signals a potential breakout towards approximately $114,000 in the near term. These technical indicators provide a roadmap for price projections, guiding traders in their investment decisions amidst fluctuating market sentiment.

Despite these bullish signals, traders must remain vigilant of short-term bearish pressures. The MACD histogram turned negative on May 24, 2025, indicating a potential downturn, while the 10-day RSI dropping from overbought levels on May 23, 2025, suggests a possible correction. However, Bitcoin’s price currently holds strong support between $104,000 and $105,000, based on Fibonacci retracement levels. This technical analysis underscores the significance of balancing optimism with caution, as investment flows continue to shape market dynamics. Institutional and retail investment flows play an important role in sustaining Bitcoin’s upward trajectory. The approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024 released approximately $100 billion in new institutional capital inflows. Retail investors have also contributed notably, with large intraday inflows into correlated U.S. stocks on May 19, 2025, spilling over into the crypto markets. This influx of capital from diverse sources buttresses price stability, even as technical sell signals emerge. As of recent reports, Bitcoin’s current price stands at $102,120 USD, reflecting ongoing market developments. Bitcoin remains within a bullish upward channel, which provides additional confidence to market participants despite potential short-term corrections.

The impact of Bitcoin halving and supply dynamics can’t be overstated. The April 2024 halving event, which reduced block rewards from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC, has tightened Bitcoin’s supply. Historically, such events have catalyzed price surges, with reduced supply against steady or increasing demand exerting upward pressure on prices. This scarcity, coupled with technical bullish signals, fosters a robust investor sentiment, reinforcing the expectation of further price appreciation. Rising On-Balance Volume (OBV) during consolidation also indicates hidden accumulation, aligning with the technical perspective of bullish momentum.

Price target predictions and projections for Bitcoin in 2025 are informed by these technical and fundamental factors. Analysts forecast a minimum price of approximately $100,021.65, with a potential 23% surge by Q3 2025 due to bullish flag patterns. While risks of a pullback towards $100,000 exist, particularly due to bearish momentum indicators, the longer-term outlook remains positive, with expectations of new highs extending beyond 2025.

Momentum and short-term risk factors also deserve attention. The recent stalling of the bull run, alongside bearish divergence in momentum indicators, suggests potential pullbacks. However, oversold RSI levels and a flattening MACD present opportunities for relief bounces post-correction. Traders should watch support levels closely, as daily volatility continues to manifest through notable price swings.

Zara Mehta
Zara Mehta

Zara Mehta, a former quantitative strategist at Montrose Partners, left traditional finance in 2018 to pursue the untapped potential of cryptocurrency markets. With a strong academic background in mathematics and machine learning from institutions like Caltech, MIT, and Stanford, she transitioned into crypto by founding Mehta Digital Strategies—a firm known for advanced trading algorithms and decentralized market analytics. Today, as Lead Trading Analyst at Digital Alpha Insights, she helps traders navigate the complexities of digital assets using data-driven strategies. Her contributions include innovations like the Digital Liquidity Stress Index and AI-powered sentiment systems, and she’s recognized as a thought leader in the crypto quant space.

“Crypto markets are unpredictable—until you understand the rhythm beneath the noise. That’s where data, discipline, and creativity collide.” – Zara Mehta

Read more

Related Articles